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War in Iraq kills energy independence

030402-N-5362A-004 Southern, Iraq (Apr. 2, 2003) — U.S. Army Sgt. Mark Phiffer stands guard duty near a burning oil well in the Rumaylah Oil Fields in Southern Iraq. Coalition forces have successfully secured the southern oil fields for the economic future of the Iraqi people and are in the process of extinguishing the burning wells that were set ablaze in the early stages of Operation Iraqi Freedom. Operation Iraqi Freedom is the multi-national coalition effort to liberate the Iraqi people, eliminate Iraq’s weapons of mass destruction and end the regime of Saddam Hussein. U.S. Navy photo by Photographer’s Mate 1st Class Arlo K. Abrahamson. (RELEASED)

Given the extreme levels of U.S. oil dependence, it seemed to make sense to establish a “police station” in the mideast to extend the “Carter doctrine” and ensure U.S. access to oil supplies. There may have also been some good reasons related to security and the war on terror to take out Saddam Hussein. I have been in favor of the war for those reasons from the start. But after all the money that’s been spent, some $183,186,744,816, according to the costofwar.com site, we are no closer to energy independence, or security for that matter.

Clearly, the nearly $200 billion that’s been spent could have bought an amazing amount of alternative energy technology. This could have been accomplished without the tremendous loss of life that mounts by the day.

At $20,000 per household for a solar electricity system, 10 million households could have been outfitted with solar electricity. At $10 billion per nuke plant, 20 plants could have been built at 1000MW each (California consumes roughly 40000MW, so 20000MW would be enough to power half of the state of California). At $1,000 per kilowatt of wind generation, 200000MW could have been installed, enough to power 5 Californias! These calculations will be small comfort, however, because it’s too late to get out of Iraq. Now we have to pay for not only the war, but we will have to pay for the energy conversion in the future as well. I never thought I would say this, but the whole thing has been grossly mismanaged. What a mess. If you want to know why, follow the oil money trail–or just follow your neighbor’s friendly SUV.

Update: As it turned out, the total long term cost of the Iraq War was $2.4 trillion, according to the CBO. This would have paid for conversion of a majority of the US power sector to renewable energy, with a price tag of $4.5 trillion, according to Yale University. An incredible lost opportunity, that would have turbocharged the US economy, and also gone a long way toward solving climate change. –Sean Prophet, August 2022

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